Which Spanish destinations would best withstand a crisis?
Andalusia (87.7 out of 100) and the Community of Madrid (85.6) top RaceMyDesk’s tourism resilience index. The Balearic Islands, which receive more visitors than Andalusia, Madrid or the Valencian Community, come last with 9.7 points: 74% of their international overnight stays come from a single source market.
Which destination would best withstand a geopolitical crisis, a pandemic or a change in its source markets? Our AI agents measured it with a 0 to 100 index across Spain’s six regions with the most tourism. The conclusion: receiving more tourists does not make you more resilient.
The resilience ranking
Andalusia leads with 87.7 points, followed by the Community of Madrid (85.6) and the Valencian Community (81.1). Catalonia scores 70.8, the Canary Islands 43.4 and the Balearic Islands 9.7. On market diversification, the heaviest indicator, Andalusia reaches the maximum (100) and the Balearic Islands the minimum (0).
The Balearic paradox
The Balearic Islands receive 15.7 million visitors, more than Andalusia, Madrid or the Valencian Community, yet come last. They score 0 on both diversification and deseasonalisation: 74% of their international overnight stays come from a single source market. They have 191 air routes, more than Andalusia, the Valencian Community or the Canary Islands, but the index only counts existing routes, not frequencies or seats.
What the index measures
Five indicators: market diversification (30% of the total), domestic tourism (20%), recovery, deseasonalisation and air connectivity. Domestic tourism brings stability: it accounts for 91.4% of trips in Andalusia and 53.3% in the Balearic Islands. Since 2023, the Valencian Community (18.5%) and Andalusia (18.4%) have grown the most; the Balearic Islands the least (9%).
| Region | Index | Diversification | Domestic tourism | Growth since 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andalusia | 87.7 | 100 | 91.4% | 18.4% |
| Madrid | 85.6 | 77 | 83.7% | 16.3% |
| Valencian C. | 81.1 | 89 | 88.8% | 18.5% |
| Catalonia | 70.8 | 74 | 83% | 10.2% |
| Canary Islands | 43.4 | 37 | 66.3% | 12.5% |
| Balearic Islands | 9.7 | 0 | 53.3% | 9% |
Receiving more tourists does not make you more resilient. Depending on a single market makes you vulnerable.
Key takeaways
- Andalusia is the most resilient region: 87.7 out of 100.
- The Balearic Islands come last (9.7) despite receiving more visitors than any other.
- Market diversification is the heaviest indicator: 30% of the index.
- Domestic tourism brings stability: 91.4% of trips in Andalusia.
Frequently asked questions
What is tourism resilience?
Why do the Balearic Islands come last if they receive so many tourists?
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